Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.091423 0.142503 0.203306 0.278513 0.366884 0.465620 0.582606
2026-02-08 0.020769 0.067017 0.139806 0.246191 0.386270 0.555959 0.769805
2026-02-15 0.003453 0.037883 0.112365 0.236654 0.412894 0.636497 0.927522
2026-02-22 0.000022 0.023520 0.099515 0.241872 0.455243 0.734710 1.106165
2026-03-01 NaN 0.012514 0.084814 0.238983 0.482852 0.811615 1.256664
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004265 0.066409 0.224322 0.490039 0.859466 1.369048
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002978 0.068756 0.246954 0.552830 0.982126 1.577622
2026-03-22 NaN 0.002066 0.071395 0.269913 0.616244 1.106000 1.788379
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000905 0.069340 0.282632 0.663490 1.207784 1.970812
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000805 0.075699 0.313251 0.739372 1.349601 2.206068
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000388 0.076949 0.332699 0.797534 1.467081 2.409935
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000006 0.070829 0.334913 0.827582 1.545268 2.562393
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.053728 0.309410 0.812978 1.563151 2.639606
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.036324 0.276104 0.782238 1.556649 2.683977
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.028673 0.265692 0.788942 1.602657 2.797327
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.026392 0.271316 0.824090 1.690383 2.967324
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.022068 0.268221 0.842791 1.753595 3.104001
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.015460 0.252591 0.836838 1.779368 3.189153
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.018072 0.276713 0.906805 1.919656 3.431930
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.020780 0.301122 0.977396 2.061060 3.676515
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.020990 0.314621 1.027257 2.171414 3.878708
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.025568 0.347053 1.113359 2.336535 4.156422
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.027381 0.367611 1.176946 2.467943 4.388092